NFL Week 15 Rankings and Week 16 Predictions

Last week: 8-8 (0.500)

Away Home Pick
OAK  DEN  DEN  lock
CHI  BAL  BAL  lock
HOU  STL  HOU  lock
NE   BUF  NE   lock
ARI  DET  ARI  lock
MIN  CAR  MIN  lock
TB   SEA  SEA  lock
ATL  NYJ  NYJ  lock
SF   PHI  PHI
IND  JAX  IND
GB   PIT  GB
NYG  WAS  WAS
CLE  KC   KC
DAL  NO   NO
CIN  SD   SD
MIA  TEN  TEN

Team                  JRI    Rank
Green Bay Packers     2.1188 1
Baltimore Ravens      1.9989 2
New England Patriots  1.8868 3
Minnesota Vikings     1.7071 4
New Orleans Saints    1.6135 5
Indianapolis Colts    1.4025 6
Dallas Cowboys        1.3876 7
Philadelphia Eagles   1.3464 8
New York Jets         1.2988 9
Pittsburgh Steelers   1.1172 10
Cincinnati Bengals    1.0151 11
San Diego Chargers    0.9875 12
Denver Broncos        0.7941 13
Houston Texans        0.6398 14
Arizona Cardinals     0.3624 15
New York Giants       0.3507 16
Jacksonville Jaguars  0.0085 17
San Francisco 49ers  -0.0573 18
Washington Redskins  -0.2406 19
Miami Dolphins       -0.2490 20
Atlanta Falcons      -0.3484 21
Carolina Panthers    -0.4372 22
Tennessee Titans     -0.5277 23
Seattle Seahawks     -0.8966 24
Buffalo Bills        -1.0950 25
Chicago Bears        -1.4038 26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.3586 27
Oakland Raiders      -2.3683 28
Kansas City Chiefs   -2.3818 29
Detroit Lions        -2.4942 30
Cleveland Browns     -2.5294 31
St. Louis Rams       -2.6478 32

Away Home Pick
TB   NO   NO   lock
KC   CIN  CIN  lock
SEA  GB   GB   lock
STL  ARI  ARI  lock
DET  SF   SF   lock
MIN  CHI  MIN  lock
JAX  NE   NE   lock
DAL  WAS  DAL
CAR  NYG  NYG
BUF  ATL  ATL
SD   TEN  SD
DEN  PHI  PHI
NYJ  IND  IND
HOU  MIA  HOU
BAL  PIT  BAL
OAK  CLE  CLE
 
Year-to-date: 138-70 (0.663)
Locks: 43-12 (0.781)

NFL Week 14 Rankings and Week 15 Predictions

Last week: 12-4 (0.750)

Away Home Pick
PIT  CLE  PIT  lock
DET  BAL  BAL  lock
GB   CHI  GB   lock
NYJ  TB   NYJ  lock
CAR  NE   NE   lock
NO   ATL  NO   lock
WAS  OAK  WAS
STL  TEN  TEN
SEA  HOU  HOU
BUF  KC   BUF
PHI  NYG  PHI
MIA  JAX  JAX
DEN  IND  IND
SD   DAL  DAL
CIN  MIN  MIN
ARI  SF   ARI

Team                  JRI    Rank
Green Bay Packers     2.5171 1
Minnesota Vikings     2.1651 2
New England Patriots  1.9221 3
Baltimore Ravens      1.7869 4
New Orleans Saints    1.5826 5
Dallas Cowboys        1.4530 6
Indianapolis Colts    1.4501 7
New York Jets         1.3875 8
Cincinnati Bengals    1.2654 9
Pittsburgh Steelers   1.2268 10
Philadelphia Eagles   1.2045 11
San Diego Chargers    1.1022 12
Denver Broncos        0.9835 13
Houston Texans        0.5044 14
Arizona Cardinals     0.3332 15
Washington Redskins   0.2818 16
San Francisco 49ers   0.2452 17
Jacksonville Jaguars -0.0209 18
New York Giants      -0.0411 19
Miami Dolphins       -0.2752 20
Atlanta Falcons      -0.4819 21
Tennessee Titans     -0.5788 22
Carolina Panthers    -0.7956 23
Seattle Seahawks     -0.8554 24
Chicago Bears        -1.1563 25
Buffalo Bills        -1.1902 26
Oakland Raiders      -2.5367 27
Kansas City Chiefs   -2.5573 28
Detroit Lions        -2.6647 29
Cleveland Browns     -2.7118 30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.7437 31
St. Louis Rams       -2.8020 32

Away Home Pick
OAK  DEN  DEN  lock
CHI  BAL  BAL  lock
HOU  STL  HOU  lock
NE   BUF  NE   lock
ARI  DET  ARI  lock
MIN  CAR  MIN  lock
TB   SEA  SEA  lock
ATL  NYJ  NYJ  lock
SF   PHI  PHI
IND  JAX  IND
GB   PIT  GB
NYG  WAS  WAS
CLE  KC   KC
DAL  NO   NO
CIN  SD   SD
MIA  TEN  TEN

Year-to-date: 130-62 (0.677)
Locks: 39-8 (0.830)

NFL Week 13 Rankings and Week 14 Predictions

Last week: 10-6 (0.625)

Away Home Pick
DET  CIN  CIN  lock
OAK  PIT  PIT  lock
SD   CLE  SD   lock
TEN  IND  IND  lock
DEN  KC   DEN  lock
TB   CAR  CAR  lock
NE   MIA  NE
STL  CHI  CHI
NO   WAS  NO
NYJ  BUF  NYJ
MIN  ARI  MIN
BAL  GB   GB
DAL  NYG  DAL
PHI  ATL  PHI
HOU  JAX  JAX
SF   SEA  SF

Team                  JRI    Rank
Green Bay Packers     2.3463 1
New Orleans Saints    1.9723 2
Minnesota Vikings     1.7481 3
New England Patriots  1.6954 4
Cincinnati Bengals    1.6172 5
Indianapolis Colts    1.5687 6
Philadelphia Eagles   1.3421 7
Dallas Cowboys        1.2974 8
Pittsburgh Steelers   1.2030 9
Denver Broncos        1.0957 10
San Diego Chargers    1.0784 11
Baltimore Ravens      0.9563 12
New York Jets         0.8666 13
Arizona Cardinals     0.5543 14
Jacksonville Jaguars  0.0722 15
Houston Texans        0.0544 16
New York Giants       0.0526 17
Washington Redskins  -0.0461 18
San Francisco 49ers  -0.2200 19
Miami Dolphins       -0.4129 20
Seattle Seahawks     -0.4996 21
Atlanta Falcons      -0.5026 22
Carolina Panthers    -0.5569 23
Chicago Bears        -1.0018 24
Tennessee Titans     -1.1311 25
Buffalo Bills        -1.1648 26
Detroit Lions        -2.0279 27
Oakland Raiders      -2.1699 28
St. Louis Rams       -2.2065 29
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.2970 30
Kansas City Chiefs   -2.4932 31
Cleveland Browns     -2.7906 32

Away Home Pick
PIT  CLE  PIT  lock
DET  BAL  BAL  lock
GB   CHI  GB   lock
NYJ  TB   NYJ  lock
CAR  NE   NE   lock
NO   ATL  NO   lock
WAS  OAK  WAS
STL  TEN  TEN
SEA  HOU  HOU
BUF  KC   BUF
PHI  NYG  PHI
MIA  JAX  JAX
DEN  IND  IND
SD   DAL  DAL
CIN  MIN  MIN
ARI  SF   ARI

Year-to-date: 118-58 (0.670)
Locks: 34-7 (0.829)

NFL Week 12 Rankings and Week 13 Predictions

Last week: 13-3 (0.813)

CLE CIN CIN lock
OAK DAL DAL lock
GB  DET GB  lock
KC  SD  SD  lock
TB  ATL ATL lock
CHI MIN MIN lock
ARI TEN ARI
SEA STL SEA
CAR NYJ NYJ
IND HOU IND
WAS PHI PHI
MIA BUF MIA
NE  NO  NO
NYG DEN NYG
PIT BAL BAL
JAX SF  SF

Team                  JRI    Rank
New Orleans Saints    2.1986 1
Green Bay Packers     2.0782 2
Minnesota Vikings     2.0456 3
New England Patriots  1.7992 4
Indianapolis Colts    1.6007 5
Cincinnati Bengals    1.4716 6
Dallas Cowboys        1.4566 7
Baltimore Ravens      1.3191 8
Pittsburgh Steelers   1.2614 9
San Diego Chargers    1.1792 10
Philadelphia Eagles   0.9519 11
New York Jets         0.6522 12
Denver Broncos        0.6012 13
Arizona Cardinals     0.4706 14
Washington Redskins   0.3133 15
Houston Texans        0.2146 16
New York Giants       0.2122 17
Jacksonville Jaguars -0.1343 18
Atlanta Falcons      -0.2289 19
San Francisco 49ers  -0.2495 20
Miami Dolphins       -0.5131 21
Seattle Seahawks     -0.6967 22
Carolina Panthers    -0.7159 23
Buffalo Bills        -1.0025 24
Chicago Bears        -1.1305 25
Tennessee Titans     -1.1737 26
Detroit Lions        -2.0623 27
Kansas City Chiefs   -2.1939 28
Oakland Raiders      -2.2441 29
St. Louis Rams       -2.2892 30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.3822 31
Cleveland Browns     -2.8093 32


Away Home Pick
DET  CIN  CIN  lock
OAK  PIT  PIT  lock
SD   CLE  SD   lock
TEN  IND  IND  lock
DEN  KC   DEN  lock
TB   CAR  CAR  lock
NE   MIA  NE
STL  CHI  CHI
NO   WAS  NO
NYJ  BUF  NYJ
MIN  ARI  MIN
BAL  GB   GB
DAL  NYG  DAL
PHI  ATL  PHI
HOU  JAX  JAX
SF   SEA  SF

Year-to-date: 108-52 (0.675)
Locks: 29-6 (0.829)

NFL Week 11 Rankings and Week 12 Predictions

Last week: 11-4 (0.733)

NO   TB   NO   lock
CIN  OAK  CIN  lock
PIT  KC   PIT  lock
ARI  STL  ARI  lock
SF   GB   GB   lock
NYJ  NE   NE
SEA  MIN  MIN
CLE  DET  DET
BUF  JAX  JAX
ATL  NYG  NYG
PHI  CHI  PHI
WAS  DAL  DAL
SD   DEN  DEN
IND  BAL  IND
MIA  CAR  CAR

Team                  JRI    Rank
New England Patriots  2.5007 1
New Orleans Saints    2.3022 2
Indianapolis Colts    1.8966 3
Green Bay Packers     1.7582 4
Minnesota Vikings     1.5695 5
Pittsburgh Steelers   1.5459 6
Baltimore Ravens      1.2457 7
Dallas Cowboys        1.1465 8
Cincinnati Bengals    1.1187 9
Philadelphia Eagles   0.9628 10
San Diego Chargers    0.8634 11
Arizona Cardinals     0.6682 12
New York Giants       0.6563 13
Washington Redskins   0.5396 14
Houston Texans        0.4620 15
New York Jets         0.2620 16
Denver Broncos        0.0970 17
Jacksonville Jaguars -0.1759 18
Atlanta Falcons      -0.2226 19
Miami Dolphins       -0.3359 20
Carolina Panthers    -0.4907 21
San Francisco 49ers  -0.5185 22
Chicago Bears        -0.6236 23
Seattle Seahawks     -0.8263 24
Buffalo Bills        -1.2098 25
Tennessee Titans     -1.4257 26
Kansas City Chiefs   -1.8198 27
Detroit Lions        -1.9092 28
Oakland Raiders      -2.2400 29
St. Louis Rams       -2.4263 30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.4439 31
Cleveland Browns     -2.9271 32

Away Home Pick
CLE  CIN  CIN  lock
OAK  DAL  DAL  lock
GB   DET  GB   lock
KC   SD   SD   lock
TB   ATL  ATL  lock
CHI  MIN  MIN  lock
ARI  TEN  ARI
SEA  STL  SEA
CAR  NYJ  NYJ
IND  HOU  IND
WAS  PHI  PHI
MIA  BUF  MIA
NE   NO   NO
NYG  DEN  NYG
PIT  BAL  BAL
JAX  SF   SF

Year-to-date: 95-49 (0.660)
Locks: 23-6 (0.793)

NFL Week 10 Rankings and Week 11 Predictions

Last week: 10-6 (0.600)

NO  STL NO  lock
BAL CLE BAL lock
DET MIN MIN lock
TB  MIA MIA lock
JAX NYJ NYJ
CIN PIT PIT
DAL GB  GB
SEA ARI ARI
CHI SF  SF
DEN WAS DEN
ATL CAR ATL
BUF TEN BUF
KC  OAK KC
PHI SD  PHI
NE  IND IND

Team                  JRI    Rank
New England Patriots  2.3045 1
Indianapolis Colts    2.0230 2
New Orleans Saints    1.9089 3
Green Bay Packers     1.7185 4
Pittsburgh Steelers   1.6852 5
Baltimore Ravens      1.4010 6
Cincinnati Bengals    1.1536 7
Minnesota Vikings     1.1006 8
Dallas Cowboys        1.0074 9
Philadelphia Eagles   0.9305 10
New York Jets         0.7722 11
Denver Broncos        0.7167 12
New York Giants       0.7023 13
Houston Texans        0.4786 14
Arizona Cardinals     0.4495 15
Washington Redskins   0.4389 16
San Diego Chargers    0.4222 17
Atlanta Falcons      -0.0657 18
San Francisco 49ers  -0.1513 19
Seattle Seahawks     -0.2831 20
Miami Dolphins       -0.3277 21
Jacksonville Jaguars -0.3570 22
Carolina Panthers    -0.5338 23
Chicago Bears        -0.5522 24
Buffalo Bills        -1.2701 25
Tennessee Titans     -1.5857 26
Kansas City Chiefs   -1.7617 27
Detroit Lions        -2.0982 28
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.2138 29
St. Louis Rams       -2.4234 30
Oakland Raiders      -2.4453 31
Cleveland Browns     -3.1446 32

Away Home Pick
NO   TB   NO   lock
CIN  OAK  CIN  lock
PIT  KC   PIT  lock
ARI  STL  ARI  lock
SF   GB   GB   lock
NYJ  NE   NE
SEA  MIN  MIN
CLE  DET  DET
BUF  JAX  JAX
ATL  NYG  NYG
PHI  CHI  PHI
WAS  DAL  DAL
SD   DEN  DEN
IND  BAL  IND
MIA  CAR  CAR

Year-to-date: 84-45 (0.651)
Locks: 21-4 (0.840)

NFL Week 9 Rankings and Week 10 Predictions

Last week: 8-5 (0.615)

GB   TB   GB   lock
CAR  NO   NO   lock
MIA  NE   NE   lock
HOU  IND  IND  lock
TEN  SF   SF   lock
KC   JAX  JAX
DET  SEA  SEA
PIT  DEN  DEN
DAL  PHI  PHI
SD   NYG  NYG
WAS  ATL  ATL
BAL  CIN  BAL
ARI  CHI  ARI

Team                  Index  Rank
New England Patriots  2.3991 1
Indianapolis Colts    2.0198 2
New Orleans Saints    1.9793 3
Green Bay Packers     1.5824 4
Pittsburgh Steelers   1.5581 5
Philadelphia Eagles   1.1061 6
Dallas Cowboys        1.0529 7
Denver Broncos        0.9318 8
Baltimore Ravens      0.8478 9
Minnesota Vikings     0.8224 10
Cincinnati Bengals    0.7476 11
New York Giants       0.6941 12
San Diego Chargers    0.6013 13
New York Jets         0.5825 14
Houston Texans        0.3724 15
Arizona Cardinals     0.3689 16
Atlanta Falcons       0.0850 17
Washington Redskins  -0.0362 18
Seattle Seahawks     -0.0696 19
Miami Dolphins       -0.0940 20
San Francisco 49ers  -0.2258 21
Jacksonville Jaguars -0.2495 22
Chicago Bears        -0.6003 23
Carolina Panthers    -0.8033 24
Buffalo Bills        -0.9949 25
Detroit Lions        -1.6047 26
Tennessee Titans     -1.6955 27
Kansas City Chiefs   -1.8214 28
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.9859 29
St. Louis Rams       -2.3132 30
Oakland Raiders      -2.3723 31
Cleveland Browns     -2.8850 32

Away Home Pick
NO   STL  NO   lock
BAL  CLE  BAL  lock
DET  MIN  MIN  lock
TB   MIA  MIA  lock
JAX  NYJ  NYJ
CIN  PIT  PIT
DAL  GB   GB
SEA  ARI  ARI
CHI  SF   SF
DEN  WAS  DEN
ATL  CAR  ATL
BUF  TEN  BUF
KC   OAK  KC
PHI  SD   PHI
NE   IND  IND


Year-to-date: 74-39 (0.655)
Locks: 17-4 (0.810)

NFL Week 8 Rankings and Week 9 Predictions

Last week: 8-5 (0.615)

OAK  SD   SD  lock
SF   IND  IND lock
ATL  NO   NO  lock
CLE  CHI  CHI
CAR  ARI  ARI
JAX  TEN  JAX
MIN  GB   GB
STL  DET  DET
SEA  DAL  DAL
DEN  BAL  DEN
HOU  BUF  HOU
MIA  NYJ  NYJ
NYG  PHI  PHI

Team                  JRI    Rank
New England Patriots  2.4518 1
Indianapolis Colts    2.2700 2
New Orleans Saints    1.9269 3
Green Bay Packers     1.6434 4
Denver Broncos        1.5950 5
Pittsburgh Steelers   1.2017 6
Philadelphia Eagles   1.1720 7
Baltimore Ravens      1.1041 8
Dallas Cowboys        0.9362 9
Minnesota Vikings     0.7649 10
New York Giants       0.6835 11
San Diego Chargers    0.6265 12
New York Jets         0.5612 13
Houston Texans        0.4793 14
Cincinnati Bengals    0.4763 15
Arizona Cardinals     0.1816 16
Washington Redskins   0.0879 17
Atlanta Falcons       0.0183 18
Miami Dolphins       -0.0497 19
San Francisco 49ers  -0.1555 20
Chicago Bears        -0.3234 21
Seattle Seahawks     -0.3699 22
Carolina Panthers    -0.6025 23
Jacksonville Jaguars -0.6355 24
Buffalo Bills        -1.1143 25
Detroit Lions        -1.5011 26
Kansas City Chiefs   -1.7779 27
Tennessee Titans     -1.8826 28
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.2413 29
St. Louis Rams       -2.2742 30
Oakland Raiders      -2.4053 31
Cleveland Browns     -2.8474 32

Away Home Pick 
GB   TB   GB   lock
CAR  NO   NO   lock
MIA  NE   NE   lock
HOU  IND  IND  lock
TEN  SF   SF   lock
KC   JAX  JAX
DET  SEA  SEA
PIT  DEN  DEN
DAL  PHI  PHI
SD   NYG  NYG
WAS  ATL  ATL
BAL  CIN  BAL
ARI  CHI  ARI

Year-to-date: 66-34 (0.660)
Locks: 14-2 (0.875)

NFL Week 7 Rankings and Week 8 Predictions

Last week: 12-2 (0.846)

IND STL IND lock
NE  TB  NE  lock
GB  CLE GB  lock
NO  MIA NO
NYJ OAK NYJ
ARI NYG NYG
SD  KC  SD
MIN PIT PIT
PHI WAS PHI
SF  HOU HOU
ATL DAL DAL
CHI CIN CHI
BUF CAR BUF

Team                  JRI    Rank
New England Patriots  2.0338 1
New Orleans Saints    1.9867 2
Indianapolis Colts    1.9858 3
Denver Broncos        1.9710 4
Green Bay Packers     1.9163 5
New York Giants       1.0151 6
Pittsburgh Steelers   0.9971 7
Philadelphia Eagles   0.9135 8
Baltimore Ravens      0.8801 9
Arizona Cardinals     0.7736 10
Minnesota Vikings     0.5704 11
Dallas Cowboys        0.5654 12
San Diego Chargers    0.3533 13
Cincinnati Bengals    0.3104 14
New York Jets         0.2448 15
Atlanta Falcons       0.1495 16
Houston Texans        0.0796 17
Miami Dolphins        0.0580 18
Seattle Seahawks     -0.0109 19
Washington Redskins  -0.0360 20
Jacksonville Jaguars -0.0948 21
San Francisco 49ers  -0.1330 22
Buffalo Bills        -0.7810 23
Carolina Panthers    -0.8298 24
Chicago Bears        -0.8610 25
Detroit Lions        -1.3196 26
Kansas City Chiefs   -1.6106 27
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.0017 28
Tennessee Titans     -2.0471 29
Oakland Raiders      -2.2872 30
St. Louis Rams       -2.3232 31
Cleveland Browns     -2.4684 32

Away Home Pick
OAK  SD   SD  lock
SF   IND  IND lock
ATL  NO   NO  lock
CLE  CHI  CHI
CAR  ARI  ARI
JAX  TEN  JAX
MIN  GB   GB
STL  DET  DET
SEA  DAL  DAL
DEN  BAL  DEN
HOU  BUF  HOU
MIA  NYJ  NYJ
NYG  PHI  PHI

Year-to-date: 58-29 (0.667)
Locks: 11-2 (0.846)

NFL Week 6 Rankings and Week 7 Predictions

Last week: 8-6 (0.571)

PHI OAK PHI lock
CLE PIT PIT lock
STL JAX JAX lock
KC  WAS WAS
DET GB  GB
TEN NE  NE
BUF NYJ NYJ
DEN SD  DEN
CHI ATL ATL
ARI SEA SEA
HOU CIN CIN
NYG NO  NO
BAL MIN MIN
CAR TB  TB

Team                  JRI    Rank
New Orleans Saints    2.1663 1
Denver Broncos        1.8200 2
New England Patriots  1.7024 3
Indianapolis Colts    1.5502 4
New York Giants       1.2774 5
Green Bay Packers     1.1872 6
Pittsburgh Steelers   1.0682 7
Philadelphia Eagles   0.9624 8
Baltimore Ravens      0.7901 9
Arizona Cardinals     0.6806 10
Minnesota Vikings     0.6718 11
Atlanta Falcons       0.6014 12
Dallas Cowboys        0.4806 13
Miami Dolphins        0.3188 14
Houston Texans        0.0402 15
San Diego Chargers   -0.0197 16
Chicago Bears        -0.0443 17
Seattle Seahawks     -0.0666 18
Washington Redskins  -0.0709 19
San Francisco 49ers  -0.1238 20
Jacksonville Jaguars -0.1632 21
New York Jets        -0.2704 22
Cincinnati Bengals   -0.4760 23
Buffalo Bills        -0.6110 24
Carolina Panthers    -0.9937 25
Kansas City Chiefs   -1.2411 26
Detroit Lions        -1.3192 27
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.7990 28
Oakland Raiders      -1.9382 29
Cleveland Browns     -1.9603 30
Tennessee Titans     -2.0865 31
St. Louis Rams       -2.1339 32

Away Home Pick
IND  STL  IND lock
NE   TB   NE  lock
GB   CLE  GB  lock
NO   MIA  NO
NYJ  OAK  NYJ
ARI  NYG  NYG
SD   KC   SD
MIN  PIT  PIT
PHI  WAS  PHI
SF   HOU  HOU
ATL  DAL  DAL
CHI  CIN  CHI
BUF  CAR  BUF

Year-to-date: 47-27 (0.635)
Locks: 8-2 (0.800)

NFL Week 5 Rankings and Week 6 Predictions

Last week: 9-5 (0.643)

OAK NYG NYG lock
TB  PHI PHI lock
MIN STL MIN lock
CIN BAL BAL lock
NE  DEN DEN
DAL KC  DAL
ATL SF  SF
IND TEN IND
CLE BUF BUF
PIT DET PIT
WAS CAR WAS
NYJ MIA MIA
JAX SEA JAX
HOU ARI ARI

Team JRI Rank
New York Giants       2.1216 1
New Orleans Saints    2.0073 2
Denver Broncos        1.7946 3
Philadelphia Eagles   1.4511 4
Indianapolis Colts    1.3702 5
Baltimore Ravens      1.2162 6
Pittsburgh Steelers   1.0862 7
Minnesota Vikings     0.8997 8
Green Bay Packers     0.6764 9
Atlanta Falcons       0.6424 10
Dallas Cowboys        0.4785 11
Seattle Seahawks      0.4415 12
Miami Dolphins        0.4327 13
New England Patriots  0.3739 14
Arizona Cardinals     0.2103 15
San Diego Chargers    0.0938 16
Chicago Bears         0.0634 17
Washington Redskins  -0.0170 18
San Francisco 49ers  -0.1556 19
Houston Texans       -0.2026 20
Cincinnati Bengals   -0.2265 21
New York Jets        -0.3299 22
Jacksonville Jaguars -0.3376 23
Detroit Lions        -0.6173 24
Tennessee Titans     -0.6787 25
Buffalo Bills        -1.2461 26
Kansas City Chiefs   -1.5082 27
Carolina Panthers    -1.5203 28
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.8441 29
Cleveland Browns     -2.0165 30
St. Louis Rams       -2.1756 31
Oakland Raiders      -2.4840 32

Away Home Pick
PHI OAK PHI lock
CLE PIT PIT lock
STL JAX JAX lock
KC  WAS WAS
DET GB  GB
TEN NE  NE
BUF NYJ NYJ
DEN SD  DEN
CHI ATL ATL
ARI SEA SEA
HOU CIN CIN
NYG NO  NO
BAL MIN MIN
CAR TB  TB


Year-to-date: 39-21 (0.650)
Locks: 6-1 (0.857)

NFL Week 4 Rankings and Week 5 Predictions

Last week: 10-4 (0.714)

NYG KC  NYG lock
STL SF  SF
DAL DEN DEN
TB  WAS WAS
NYJ NO  NO
OAK HOU HOU
BAL NE  BAL
CIN CLE CIN
DET CHI CHI
SEA IND IND
SD  PIT SD
GB  MIN MIN
TEN JAX TEN
BUF MIA MIA

Team                  JRI    Rank
New Orleans Saints    1.8452 1
Denver Broncos        1.6621 2
New York Giants       1.6371 3
Baltimore Ravens      1.5371 4
Philadelphia Eagles   1.1756 5
Indianapolis Colts    0.9731 6
San Francisco 49ers   0.6865 7
Pittsburgh Steelers   0.6545 8
Green Bay Packers     0.6056 9
Minnesota Vikings     0.5994 10
New England Patriots  0.4360 11
Dallas Cowboys        0.3521 12
Jacksonville Jaguars  0.2954 13
Miami Dolphins        0.2209 14
San Diego Chargers    0.2205 15
Chicago Bears         0.0630 16
New York Jets        -0.0115 17
Houston Texans       -0.0283 18
Washington Redskins  -0.1631 19
Seattle Seahawks     -0.2065 20
Atlanta Falcons      -0.2373 21
Arizona Cardinals    -0.2812 22
Cincinnati Bengals   -0.3401 23
Tennessee Titans     -0.4981 24
Detroit Lions        -0.5275 25
Buffalo Bills        -0.8948 26
Carolina Panthers    -1.3199 27
Kansas City Chiefs   -1.4162 28
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.4263 29
Cleveland Browns     -1.6133 30
Oakland Raiders      -1.8790 31
St. Louis Rams       -2.1210 32

Away Home Pick
OAK NYG NYG lock
TB  PHI PHI lock
MIN STL MIN lock
CIN BAL BAL lock
NE  DEN DEN
DAL KC  DAL
ATL SF  SF
IND TEN IND
CLE BUF BUF
PIT DET PIT
WAS CAR WAS
NYJ MIA MIA
JAX SEA JAX
HOU ARI ARI

Year-to-date: 30-16 (0.652)

Locks: 3-0 (1.000)

NFL Week 3 Rankings and Week 4 Predictions

Last week: 10-6 (0.625)

Away Home Pick
CLE  BAL  BAL lock
DEN  OAK  DEN lock
CHI  SEA  SEA
GB   STL  GB
TEN  NYJ  NYJ
CAR  DAL  DAL
KC   PHI  PHI
WAS  DET  WAS
MIA  SD   SD
NO   BUF  NO
NYG  TB   NYG
SF   MIN  MIN
JAX  HOU  HOU
PIT  CIN  PIT
IND  ARI  ARI
ATL  NE   ATL

Team                  JRI    Rank
Denver Broncos        2.1046 1
Baltimore Ravens      2.0797 2
New Orleans Saints    1.8952 3
New York Giants       1.3267 4
Philadelphia Eagles   1.0130 5
Indianapolis Colts    0.7172 6
Minnesota Vikings     0.6359 7
New York Jets         0.6018 8
Green Bay Packers     0.5950 9
San Diego Chargers    0.5927 10
Dallas Cowboys        0.5024 11
New England Patriots  0.4016 12
Seattle Seahawks      0.1569 13
Tennessee Titans      0.0705 14
San Francisco 49ers   0.0339 15
Pittsburgh Steelers   0.0166 16
Washington Redskins  -0.0585 17
Chicago Bears        -0.1968 18
Atlanta Falcons      -0.2392 19
Arizona Cardinals    -0.2937 20
Houston Texans       -0.3468 21
Cincinnati Bengals   -0.3980 22
Jacksonville Jaguars -0.3984 23
Buffalo Bills        -0.4442 24
Miami Dolphins       -0.5528 25
Detroit Lions        -0.8995 26
Kansas City Chiefs   -1.1034 27
Carolina Panthers    -1.1478 28
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.4039 29
Oakland Raiders      -1.6146 30
St. Louis Rams       -1.6652 31
Cleveland Browns     -1.9812 32

Away Home Pick
NYG  KC   NYG lock
STL  SF   SF
DAL  DEN  DEN
TB   WAS  WAS
NYJ  NO   NO
OAK  HOU  HOU
BAL  NE   BAL
CIN  CLE  CIN
DET  CHI  CHI
SEA  IND  IND
SD   PIT  SD
GB   MIN  MIN
TEN  JAX  TEN
BUF  MIA  MIA

Year-to-date: 20-12 (0.625)
Locks: 2-0 (1.000)

2008 Season Recap

I began using the JRI to rank teams and pick games after Week 5 of the 2008 NFL season. I felt that a reasonably large sample size of games was necessary for the formula to be useful; particularly, eliminating the first week or two would allow teams to shake off the rust of the preseason. This season, I have elected to use the JRI from the earliest possible point in order to test whether a pre-existing average performance for teams improves the accuracy of picks.

It should be noted that the JRI ranking and prediction methodologies were not finalized until several weeks after implementation. Picks for the 2009 season should more accurately reflect the JRI's current formulation.

Overall, JRI's picks were fairly accurate over the last 12 weeks of the 2008 season. JRI correctly picked the winner in 117 out of a total 183 games for a respectable 63.93% success rate. However, a closer examination of the index for these picks results in an interesting discovery.

For picks with less than 2.00 absolute index, JRI's record was 64-56 (53.33%). For the remaining picks (locks), JRI's record was a lofty 53-11 (82.81%). I believe this rather conclusively demonstrates that the team with a significant statistical advantage will likely win games. More to the point, it demonstrates the truth of football folk wisdom otherwise: any given Sunday.

NFL Week 2 Rankings and Week 3 Predictions

Last week: 10-6 (0.625)

Away Home Pick
SEA  SF   SEA
STL  WAS  WAS
CAR  ATL  ATL
NYG  DAL  DAL
BAL  SD   BAL
HOU  TEN  TEN
IND  MIA  IND
ARI  JAX  ARI
CIN  GB   GB
MIN  DET  MIN
NE   NYJ  NYJ
NO   PHI  NO
TB   BUF  BUF
PIT  CHI  PIT
OAK  KC   OAK
CLE  DEN  CLE

Team                  JRI    Rank
Denver Broncos        1.6842 1
New Orleans Saints    1.6559 2
Baltimore Ravens      1.1687 3
New York Jets         1.1570 4
Seattle Seahawks      0.8229 5
Minnesota Vikings     0.5798 6
Arizona Cardinals     0.5248 7
Atlanta Falcons       0.4988 8
Indianapolis Colts    0.4443 9
New York Giants       0.4065 10
San Diego Chargers    0.3525 11
Pittsburgh Steelers   0.3223 12
Buffalo Bills         0.3153 13
Philadelphia Eagles   0.2818 14
San Francisco 49ers   0.1373 15
Tennessee Titans      0.1173 16
Washington Redskins   0.1171 17
Dallas Cowboys        0.1066 18
New England Patriots -0.0509 19
Green Bay Packers    -0.0684 20
Chicago Bears        -0.4132 21
Cincinnati Bengals   -0.4840 22
Miami Dolphins       -0.5028 23
Houston Texans       -0.6003 24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -0.6945 25
Kansas City Chiefs   -0.7193 26
Carolina Panthers    -0.9005 27
Jacksonville Jaguars -0.9191 28
Oakland Raiders      -0.9952 29
Cleveland Browns     -1.3003 30
Detroit Lions        -1.3288 31
St. Louis Rams       -1.7158 32

Away Home Pick
CLE  BAL  BAL  lock
DEN  OAK  DEN  lock
CHI  SEA  SEA
GB   STL  GB
TEN  NYJ  NYJ
CAR  DAL  DAL
KC   PHI  PHI
WAS  DET  WAS
MIA  SD   SD
NO   BUF  NO
NYG  TB   NYG
SF   MIN  MIN
JAX  HOU  HOU
PIT  CIN  PIT
IND  ARI  ARI
ATL  NE   ATL

Year-to-date: 10-6 (0.625)
Locks: 0-0 (0.000)

NFL Week 1 Rankings and Week 2 Predictions

Team                  JRI    Rank
Seattle Seahawks      1.7425 1
New Orleans Saints    1.6450 2
Baltimore Ravens      1.5304 3
Philadelphia Eagles   1.0109 4
Dallas Cowboys        0.9089 5
New York Jets         0.6819 6
Minnesota Vikings     0.3632 7
San Diego Chargers    0.3439 8
New England Patriots  0.3398 9
Atlanta Falcons       0.2808 10
Indianapolis Colts    0.1974 11
Cleveland Browns      0.1445 12
Arizona Cardinals     0.0911 13
San Francisco 49ers  -0.0239 14
Buffalo Bills        -0.0786 15
New York Giants      -0.1119 16
Pittsburgh Steelers  -0.1178 17
Denver Broncos       -0.1309 18
Tennessee Titans     -0.2251 19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -0.2283 20
Green Bay Packers    -0.2305 21
Washington Redskins  -0.2454 22
Detroit Lions        -0.4773 23
Chicago Bears        -0.4807 24
Oakland Raiders      -0.5479 25
Kansas City Chiefs   -0.5718 26
Cincinnati Bengals   -0.7836 27
Jacksonville Jaguars -0.8155 28
Carolina Panthers    -0.8501 29
Miami Dolphins       -0.9040 30
Houston Texans       -1.0240 31
St. Louis Rams       -1.4327 32

Away Home Pick
SEA  SF   SEA
STL  WAS  WAS
CAR  ATL  ATL
NYG  DAL  DAL
BAL  SD   BAL
HOU  TEN  TEN
IND  MIA  IND
ARI  JAX  ARI
CIN  GB   GB
MIN  DET  MIN
NE   NYJ  NYJ
NO   PHI  NO
TB   BUF  BUF
PIT  CHI  PIT
OAK  KC   OAK
CLE  DEN  CLE

Year-to-date: 0-0 (0.000)